Fed Governor Says Banks Too Eager
To Lend, Despite Boom Economy
Dow Jones Newswires
WASHINGTON --Federal Reserve Governor Laurence Meyer warned
Monday that U.S. banks are getting complacent in their loan-making,
betting too confidently that the U.S. economic boom will last long enough
to prevent their loans from turning sour.
"Lenders are relying too much on the
continuation of good times," Mr. Meyer said in
prepared remarks to the Institute of
International Bankers. "They're assuming a very optimistic view of their
borrowers' operating prospects and that their borrowers will have ready
access to financial markets."
Mr. Meyer, repeating a warning he first sounded in June, said that although
overall credit quality at U.S. banks remains strong, it has weakened over
"the past several quarters." According to Fed data, the proportion of
problem assets at the country's 50 biggest banks increased last year for
the
first time since 1991 - a trend that accelerated in the first half of 1999.
"That's troubling because the increase has surfaced despite the continuation
of favorable economic and financial conditions in the United States," Mr.
Meyer said, in a speech that otherwise made no reference to the outlook
for the U.S. economy or for Fed monetary policy. "It appears the
vulnerability of these loans was heightened in some cases by weak
underwriting practices."
U.S. banks, he said, are "failing to subject loans to meaningful 'stress
tests'
that would, for instance, tell them if their borrower could withstand an
unexpected shock to operating revenue." Such developments, he said,
"tend to get the attention of bank supervisors, and ought to get the attention
of banks and other lenders."
Fed data show that non-accrual loans and problem real estate at the
country's 50 largest banks rose to 0.81% of all loans in the first half
of
1999 from 0.76% in all of 1998. The increase followed a seven-year
stretch in which problem loans fell steadily to record lows.
Declining credit quality sometimes portends an economic downturn,
especially in countries that have enjoyed years of rapid economic growth.
Fed officials, however, don't see the threat of an imminent downturn in
the
U.S., where banks remain both more profitable and less burdened by
problem loans than their European counterparts. Still, Mr. Meyer said U.S.
banks shouldn't get complacent.
But Mr. Meyer said the U.S. banking industry as a whole doesn't need the
tighter capital-adequacy standards proposed by the Basel Committee on
Banking Supervision, a panel of international central bankers. The panel
wants banks to set aside capital based on the actual risk of default by
a
borrower. Currently, banks don't have to set aside any capital when they
make loans to institutions within the 29-country Organization for Economic
Cooperation and Development.
"While I applaud the direction in the Basel consultative paper toward a
more sophisticated and more risk sensitive minimum capital standard, I
do
not believe this more complex system is warranted or appropriate for the
overwhelming majority of U.S. banks."
Instead, he said, bank capital requirements should distinguish between
"the
overwhelming majority of small- and medium-size banks" and "the largest
and most complex banking organizations." The Fed, he said, already is
considering a "bifurcated" system in which small- and medium-size banks
will be asked to meet a simpler standard that for large banks.
"We already have different intensities of supervisory oversight at large
complex banks and at small- and medium-sized banks, and have singled
out a very small number of the largest and most complex banks for a
program that features an enhanced focus on risk management and internal
controls...," Mr. Meyer said. "This trend will continue."
Mr. Meyer said central banks need to retain a key role in the oversight
of
banks, and he criticized the decision of governments in such countries
as
the United Kingdom, Australia and Switzerland for stripping their central
banks of bank-oversight responsibility. In those countries, central banks
simply conduct monetary policy and while another regulatory agency
oversees commercial banks and other financial institutions.
"I wish our colleagues abroad the best of luck, but I think their legislatures
have made a mistake," Mr. Meyer said. "The argument is that in a market
that has increasingly eroded differences among and between financial
institutions, the uniqueness of banks has declined and the combining of
financial-institution regulators...makes sense."
"But please note that they have continued to make their central banks
responsible for financial stability," he said. "While macro financial tools
and
monetary policy may be sufficient to do that job most of the time,
supervisory and regulatory policies have important economic and stability
implications.
"Particularly in a crisis, a central bank without knowledge of the way
markets actually operate -- knowledge that can be gained only by
experience and hands-on contact with banking organizations -- will be ...
at risk of failing its final exam," he said. "As a result, I think the
separation
of central banking and supervision and regulation is dangerous."