Financial-Advisory Industry
May Be Ready for Shakeout
By PUI-WING TAM
Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
For those thinking about entering the business of doling out financial
advice, think again.
A huge shakeout is expected to hit the
financial-advisory industry over the next
decade, leaving just 40 to 50 companies to
dominate the business, according to a report
from Undiscovered Managers LLC, a fund-management operation in
Dallas.
In fact, a huge shift is under way in the market that plays an increasingly
important role in how mutual funds are bought and sold. Competition --
especially for the business of advising clients with $1 million to $10
million
in total assets -- has sprouted to include a growing number of mutual-fund
firms and big securities brokerage firms, the report says. This development
is changing the economics of the advisory business and will likely
encourage consolidation, the report concludes.
"What the big guys are saying is they'll do more for the client for the
same
price. So if you're a bigger competitor, you can easily screw up the smaller
guy's business," Mark Hurley, chief executive of Undiscovered Managers,
says. "The entrance of the big guys has ominous implications" for
financial-advisory firms.
Over the past few years, Vanguard Group, the nation's second-largest
mutual-fund company, has started offering a broader range of services to
investors with more than $1 million in assets, including customized financial
planning and trust services. Another newcomer is Strong Funds, a midsize
mutual-fund firm.
At stake is a huge pot of gold. The financial-advisory business targeting
investors with $1 million to $10 million in assets has $700 billion under
management, the report said. But Mr. Hurley forecasts this could grow to
$8 trillion in total assets in just a few years. By then, the financial-advisory
industry will be yielding $50 billion in annual advisory fees, he predicts.
So far, the financial-advice business has been relatively fragmented, with
more than 11,000 firms, Mr. Hurley notes. Investors with more than $1
million in assets tend to have more than one person dealing with their
finances. They may have one expert who handles their tax preparation,
another who deals with estate planning and yet another who takes care of
insurance needs. But new competitors, such as Vanguard and others, are
beginning to provide all these services under one roof.
The report concludes seven main services likely will be offered under one
roof: financial planning, investment management, tax planning, tax
preparation, insurance, estate planning and charitable giving. That will
leave
firms that offer just one advisory service scrambling.
The report doesn't detail which firms will be the likely winners. But two
traits will help determine survival, the report predicts: the ability of
the firm
to market its services and size.
Write to Pui-Wing Tam at pui-wing.tam@dowjones.com
* * *
CD Yields Rose in Latest Week
Yields on certificates of deposit rose in the latest week.
The average yield on six-month, "jumbo" CDs, which typically require
deposits of $95,000 or more, climbed to 4.87% from 4.82%, according to
a weekly index prepared by BanxQuote Inc. The five-year jumbos yield
jumped to 5.57% from 5.36%, the New York-based information service
said.
Average yields on small-denomination "savings" CDs in some popular
maturities rose. The yield on the average six-month CD edged up to
4.34% from 4.32%. The average five-year CD yield rose to 5.10% from
5.04%, BanxQuote said.
Yields on broker-sold CDs also rose. According to BanxQuote, the
average yield on the six-month CD moved up to 5.79% from 5.73%. The
average five-year CD inched up to 6.64% from 6.61%.
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